Coppa Italia · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Genoavs
Ascoli
4 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 48.1%
- Edge
- +5.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.08
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08
The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Genoa
Ascoli
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +29.8
- Odds
- 3.00
Draw No Bet
Ascoli (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 2.08
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Ascoli Win
- Edge
- +21.3
- Odds
- 8.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.2%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.1%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.