Serie A badgeSerie A · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Genoa badgeGenoavsComo badgeComo

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
41.6%
Edge
+19.6 pts
Best odds
2.42

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.42

MediumEdge +19.6%
Our model61.2%
The market41.6%

The market underrated this by 19.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Genoa badge

Genoa

Attack51
Defence27
Form42
Como badge

Como

Attack74
Defence53
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model73.2%
The market73.0%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.37

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.6%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market41.6%
Edge
+19.6
Odds
2.42

Draw No Bet

Como (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.0%
The market74.1%
Edge
-15.1
Odds
1.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market46.3%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.09

Match Winner

Como Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market53.2%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
1.88

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.3%

1-1

11.6%

2-1

7.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.