Serie A · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Genoavs
Napoli
0 - 2Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 42.9%
- Edge
- +15.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.30
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30
MediumEdge +15.5%
Our model58.4%
The market42.9%
The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model75.8%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +15.5%Close
Our model58.4%
The market42.9%
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.30
Draw No Bet
Napoli (DNB)
Correct
Our model55.8%
The market68.0%
- Edge
- -12.2
- Odds
- 1.47
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +6.4%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market47.8%
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Napoli Win
Correct
Our model42.3%
The market54.1%
- Edge
- -11.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.