Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 badgeSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Gernika badgeGernikavsBergantiños badgeBergantiños

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+1.4 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.88

LowEdge +1.4%
Our model54.6%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Gernika badge

Gernika

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Bergantiños badge

Bergantiños

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.8%
The market76.9%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Gernika (DNB)

Edge +4.2%Void
Our model60.7%
The market56.5%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market53.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market45.7%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.19

Match Winner

Gernika Win

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market42.7%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.34

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.