Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 9 August 2026AI PICK

GIL Vicente badgeGIL VicentevsRio Ave badgeRio Ave

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
49.2%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +6.5%
Our model55.7%
The market49.2%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Rio Ave (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Miss
Our model55.7%
The market49.2%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market54.0%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Rio Ave Win

Edge +25.0%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market26.7%
Edge
+25.0
Odds
3.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

7.9%

1-3

7.3%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.