Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Gimnastic badgeGimnasticvsZaragoza badgeZaragoza

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model61.3%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +12.5%Miss
Our model86.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Zaragoza (DNB)

Edge +26.6%Miss
Our model78.7%
The market52.1%
Edge
+26.6
Odds
1.92

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market51.5%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Zaragoza Win

Edge +10.9%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market40.7%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.46

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.4%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.4%

0-2

14.2%

0-0

12.5%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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