1. Deild badge1. Deild · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Ægir badgeÆgirvsGrindavik badgeGrindavik

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
27.2%
Edge
+34.0 pts
Best odds
3.68

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 3.68

MediumEdge +34.0%
Our model61.2%
The market27.2%

The market underrated this by 34.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ægir badge

Ægir

Attack28
Defence23
Form2
Grindavik badge

Grindavik

Attack31
Defence51
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model69.7%
The market96.2%
Edge
-26.5
Odds
1.04

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +34.0%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market27.2%
Edge
+34.0
Odds
3.68

Draw No Bet

Grindavik (DNB)

Void
Our model55.2%
The market87.0%
Edge
-31.8
Odds
1.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +22.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market32.1%
Edge
+22.5
Odds
3.12

Match Winner

Grindavik Win

Miss
Our model38.5%
The market82.6%
Edge
-44.1
Odds
1.21

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model10.4%
The market12.0%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.4%

1-1

15.2% · actual

0-0

12.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.