Ægirvs
Grindavik
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 27.2%
- Edge
- +34.0 pts
- Best odds
- 3.68
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 3.68
The market underrated this by 34.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ægir
Grindavik
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -26.5
- Odds
- 1.04
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +34.0
- Odds
- 3.68
Draw No Bet
Grindavik (DNB)
- Edge
- -31.8
- Odds
- 1.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +22.5
- Odds
- 3.12
Match Winner
Grindavik Win
- Edge
- -44.1
- Odds
- 1.21
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.4%
1-1
15.2% · actual
0-0
12.8%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.