1. Deild badge1. Deild · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Ægir badgeÆgirvsThrottur Reykjavik badgeThrottur Reykjavik

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.2%
Market said
73.0%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.37

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.37

High confidenceEdge +2.2%
Our model75.2%
The market73.0%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ægir badge

Ægir

Attack49
Defence46
Form36
Throttur Reykjavik badge

Throttur Reykjavik

Attack68
Defence67
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market87.0%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.15

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model75.2%
The market73.0%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.37

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model69.0%
The market69.0%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.45

Draw No Bet

Ægir (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ægir Win

Edge +14.4%
Our model35.8%
The market21.4%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
4.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.0%
The market6.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-2

7.2%

2-1

6.5%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.