Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Girona badgeGironavsLas Palmas badgeLas Palmas

5 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
49.6%
Edge
+11.7 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +11.7%
Our model61.3%
The market49.6%

The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Girona badge

Girona

Attack66
Defence30
Form29
Las Palmas badge

Las Palmas

Attack69
Defence50
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model64.6%
The market85.5%
Edge
-20.9
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market49.6%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market52.0%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.82

Draw No Bet

Girona (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market75.8%
Edge
-25.7
Odds
1.32

Match Winner

Girona Win

Correct
Our model35.4%
The market59.5%
Edge
-24.1
Odds
1.68

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

11.4%

1-2

8.1%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.