GOESvs
Gemert
3 - 3Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.9%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +10.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
GOES
Gemert
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Gemert (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Gemert Win
- Edge
- -19.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.83
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.