Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 23 May 2026AI PICK

GOES badgeGOESvsGemert badgeGemert

3 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+10.3 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +10.3%
Our model62.9%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

GOES badge

GOES

Attack24
Defence44
Form20
Gemert badge

Gemert

Attack73
Defence59
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Gemert (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Gemert Win

Our model31.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-19.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.6%
The market9.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

10.6%

0-1

10.0%

1-2

9.6%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.