Serie B badgeSerie B · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Goias badgeGoiasvsSão Bernardo badgeSão Bernardo

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
58.6%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.64

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.64

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model61.3%
The market58.6%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Goias badge

Goias

Attack41
Defence50
Form44
São Bernardo badge

São Bernardo

Attack53
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.9%
The market86.2%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Goias (DNB)

Correct
Our model66.7%
The market71.9%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.39

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Close
Our model61.3%
The market58.6%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market55.7%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Goias Win

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market55.9%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.79

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.4%

2-1

6.7% · actual

2-0

5.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.