Serie D badgeSerie D · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Goiatuba EC badgeGoiatuba ECvsASA badgeASA

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
33.3%
Edge
+21.2 pts
Best odds
3.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 3.00

LowEdge +21.2%
Our model54.5%
The market33.3%

The market underrated this by 21.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Goiatuba EC badge

Goiatuba EC

Attack52
Defence100
Form67
ASA badge

ASA

Attack63
Defence87
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Draw No Bet

ASA (DNB)

Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.2%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market33.3%
Edge
+21.2
Odds
3.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market40.0%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
2.50

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market82.0%
Edge
-28.4
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

ASA Win

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model33.8%
The market28.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

2-1

7.7%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.