Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Goiatuba EC badgeGoiatuba ECvsCapital Brasilia badgeCapital Brasilia

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.9%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +7.3%
Our model54.9%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Goiatuba EC badge

Goiatuba EC

Attack53
Defence43
Form47
Capital Brasilia badge

Capital Brasilia

Attack47
Defence57
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model54.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Goiatuba EC Win

Edge +16.0%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market38.2%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
2.62

Draw No Bet

Goiatuba EC (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.