Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Granada CF badgeGranada CFvsBurgos badgeBurgos

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model57.5%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Granada CF badge

Granada CF

Attack56
Defence45
Form42
Burgos badge

Burgos

Attack41
Defence100
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Granada CF (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model50.5%
The market40.0%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.50

Match Winner

Granada CF Win

Edge +18.1%Miss
Our model50.4%
The market32.3%
Edge
+18.1
Odds
3.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.5%

1-1

10.1%

2-1

9.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.