Serie A · 30 August 2026AI PICK
Gremiovs
Chapecoense-sc
3 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 49.4%
- Edge
- +11.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.97
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.97
The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -12.5
- Odds
- 1.14
Draw No Bet
Gremio (DNB)
- Edge
- -15.9
- Odds
- 1.26
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.97
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Gremio Win
- Edge
- -20.1
- Odds
- 1.58
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 6.83
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.7%
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.