Gremiovs
Flamengo
0 - 1Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +12.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Gremio
Flamengo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 2.05
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Flamengo Win
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Flamengo (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3% · actual
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.