Serie A badgeSerie A · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Gremio badgeGremiovsFlamengo badgeFlamengo

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model61.3%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Gremio badge

Gremio

Attack33
Defence100
Form47
Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack84
Defence84
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Our model50.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
0.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.3%
The market9.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3% · actual

0-2

9.9%

1-2

9.9%

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.