Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Gremio badgeGremiovsFluminense badgeFluminense

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model61.2%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Gremio badge

Gremio

Attack58
Defence66
Form56
Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack61
Defence62
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model73.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Close
Our model58.8%
The market50.1%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Gremio (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Gremio Win

Edge +5.1%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market38.5%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.60

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

11.4% · actual

1-2

8.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.