CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 21 May 2026AI PICK
Gremiovs
Palestino
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.7%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +16.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 16.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Gremio
Palestino
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.4
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Gremio Win
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Gremio (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.5%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.4%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.