Serie A badgeSerie A · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Gremio badgeGremiovsSao Paulo badgeSao Paulo

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
46.4%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

LowEdge +8.1%
Our model54.5%
The market46.4%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Gremio badge

Gremio

Attack63
Defence46
Form45
Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack39
Defence57
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market73.5%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Gremio (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market46.4%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market53.5%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Gremio Win

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market42.0%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

9.9%

1-1

12.4%

2-1

9.9% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.