Grindavikvs
Afturelding
1 - 3Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.1%
- Market said
- 71.4%
- Edge
- +2.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.40
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40
The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Grindavik
Afturelding
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.2
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Afturelding (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Afturelding Win
- Edge
- -24.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 13.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7%
1-3
7.8% · actual
0-2
6.7%
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.