1. Deild badge1. Deild · 17 June 2026AI PICK

Grindavik badgeGrindavikvsFylkir badgeFylkir

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.7%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +2.3%
Our model71.7%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Grindavik badge

Grindavik

Attack35
Defence50
Form33
Fylkir badge

Fylkir

Attack74
Defence83
Form77

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model71.7%
The market69.4%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model64.8%
The market69.4%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Fylkir Win

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market53.8%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.86

Draw No Bet

Fylkir (DNB)

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.1%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-3

7.6%

0-2

7.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.