1. Deild badge1. Deild · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Grindavik badgeGrindavikvsLeiknir R. badgeLeiknir R.

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
39.7%
Edge
+15.8 pts
Best odds
2.52

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.52

MediumEdge +15.8%
Our model55.5%
The market39.7%

The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Grindavik badge

Grindavik

Attack28
Defence66
Form31
Leiknir R. badge

Leiknir R.

Attack37
Defence56
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +11.3%Miss
Our model73.0%
The market61.7%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Leiknir R. (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.8%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market39.7%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
2.52

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market71.9%
Edge
-17.7
Odds
1.39

Match Winner

Leiknir R. Win

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market33.1%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
3.02

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.1%
The market11.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

10.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.