1. Deild badge1. Deild · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Grindavik badgeGrindavikvsVestri badgeVestri

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+11.1 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

LowEdge +11.1%
Our model53.1%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 11.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Grindavik badge

Grindavik

Attack27
Defence85
Form36
Vestri badge

Vestri

Attack45
Defence45
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.2%
Our model71.6%
The market70.4%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Vestri (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Void
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.1%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market42.0%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
2.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market70.9%
Edge
-18.9
Odds
1.41

Match Winner

Vestri Win

Miss
Our model36.4%
The market42.7%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
2.34

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.