Derde Divisie badgeDerde Divisie · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Groene Ster badgeGroene StervsVvsb badgeVvsb

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
40.7%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
2.46

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.46

MediumEdge +17.5%
Our model58.2%
The market40.7%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Groene Ster badge

Groene Ster

Attack20
Defence36
Form0
Vvsb badge

Vvsb

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model78.3%
The market87.7%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Vvsb (DNB)

Void
Our model66.6%
The market72.5%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.5%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market40.7%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
2.46

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model52.5%
The market42.4%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.36

Match Winner

Vvsb Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market61.0%
Edge
-17.8
Odds
1.64

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.3%

0-0

16.6%

1-1

14.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.