Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Groningen badgeGroningenvsUtrecht badgeUtrecht

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
47.5%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model55.7%
The market47.5%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Close
Our model55.7%
The market47.5%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market43.8%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.20

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market73.5%
Edge
-19.9
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model31.6%
The market28.6%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model20.0%
The market23.0%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
4.35

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.0%

1-1

14.9%

1-0

14.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.