Groningenvs
Utrecht
2 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 47.5%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 2.05
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.8
- Odds
- 2.20
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -19.9
- Odds
- 1.36
Match Winner
Draw
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 3.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -3.0
- Odds
- 4.35
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
20.0%
1-1
14.9%
1-0
14.7%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.