Coppa Italia Serie C · 14 August 2026AI PICK

GrossetovsGuidonia Montecelio 1937

2 - 3

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.7%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +9.3 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +9.3%

Our model53.7%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Grosseto

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.7%

Our model72.1%

The market69.4%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.44

Draw No Bet

Grosseto (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss

Our model62.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Correct

Our model53.7%

The market44.4%

Edge: +9.3
Odds: 2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.4%Correct

Our model52.8%

The market52.4%

Edge: +0.4
Odds: 1.91

Match Winner

Grosseto Win

Miss

Our model43.1%

The market43.5%

Edge: -0.4
Odds: 2.30

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.4%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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