Serie C - Girone B badgeSerie C - Girone B · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Grosseto badgeGrossetovsSpezia badgeSpezia

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+11.3 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +11.3%
Our model59.4%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.7%
Our model86.3%
The market80.6%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Close
Our model59.4%
The market48.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Spezia (DNB)

Void
Our model57.6%
The market67.1%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model52.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Spezia Win

Miss
Our model49.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

10.0% · actual

2-0

8.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.