Liga MX · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Guadalajara Chivasvs
Cruz Azul
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.8%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +19.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 19.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Guadalajara Chivas (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Guadalajara Chivas Win
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 2.13
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 14.31
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.9% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.