Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Guadalajara Chivas badgeGuadalajara ChivasvsTigres UANL badgeTigres UANL

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.3%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+18.2 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

High confidenceEdge +18.2%
Our model75.3%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 18.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guadalajara Chivas badge

Guadalajara Chivas

Attack70
Defence54
Form60
Tigres UANL badge

Tigres UANL

Attack70
Defence61
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.2%Close
Our model75.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+18.2
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model69.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Guadalajara Chivas (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Guadalajara Chivas Win

Correct
Our model48.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.