Liga MX · 19 July 2026AI PICK
Guadalajara Chivasvs
Toluca
0 - 2Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.2%
- Market said
- 31.3%
- Edge
- +38.0 pts
- Best odds
- 3.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectToluca Win
Match Winner · best price 3.20
The market underrated this by 38.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Draw No Bet
Toluca (DNB)
- Edge
- +34.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +30.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Toluca Win
- Edge
- +38.0
- Odds
- 3.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +14.9
- Odds
- 2.20
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 5.08
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
17.1% · actual
0-3
14.8%
0-1
12.5%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.