Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Guadalajaravs
Real Madrid II
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.1%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +16.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 16.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Guadalajara
Real Madrid II
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.5
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Guadalajara Win
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Guadalajara (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.