Guairena FCvs
Paraguari AC
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 68.6%
- Market said
- 45.7%
- Edge
- +22.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.19
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectGuairena FC Win
Match Winner · best price 2.19
The market underrated this by 22.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Guairena FC
Paraguari AC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Match Winner
Guairena FC Win
- Edge
- +22.9
- Odds
- 2.19
Draw No Bet
Guairena FC (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 1.96
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.26
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
18.4% · actual
2-0
12.5%
1-1
9.9%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.