Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Gualaceo SC badgeGualaceo SCvsEl Nacional badgeEl Nacional

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+0.1 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +0.1%
Our model58.2%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Gualaceo SC badge

Gualaceo SC

Attack54
Defence58
Form44
El Nacional badge

El Nacional

Attack33
Defence33
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model83.3%
The market94.3%
Edge
-11.0
Odds
1.06

Draw No Bet

Gualaceo SC (DNB)

Correct
Our model75.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.1%Close
Our model58.2%
The market58.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Gualaceo SC Win

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
-15.4
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model18.5%
The market21.3%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.5%

0-0

19.8%

1-1

13.6%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.