Copa Ecuador badgeCopa Ecuador · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Gualaceo SC badgeGualaceo SCvsMacara badgeMacara

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Gualaceo SC badge

Gualaceo SC

Attack36
Defence49
Form44
Macara badge

Macara

Attack64
Defence100
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Close
Our model55.5%
The market43.5%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.30

Draw No Bet

Macara (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Macara Win

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model49.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.88

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

1-1

11.6% · actual

0-2

8.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.