League One badgeLeague One · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Guangxi Hengchen badgeGuangxi HengchenvsDongguan United badgeDongguan United

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model59.6%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guangxi Hengchen badge

Guangxi Hengchen

Attack66
Defence76
Form57
Dongguan United badge

Dongguan United

Attack52
Defence38
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.7%Correct
Our model56.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Guangxi Hengchen (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Guangxi Hengchen Win

Miss
Our model54.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

0-1

10.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.