League One badgeLeague One · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Guangxi Hengchen badgeGuangxi HengchenvsHeilongjiang Lava Spring badgeHeilongjiang Lava Spring

4 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+6.6 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +6.6%
Our model61.2%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Guangxi Hengchen badge

Guangxi Hengchen

Attack64
Defence60
Form60
Heilongjiang Lava Spring badge

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Attack55
Defence34
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Guangxi Hengchen (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market96.2%
Edge
-44.5
Odds
1.04

Match Winner

Guangxi Hengchen Win

Miss
Our model49.5%
The market67.6%
Edge
-18.1
Odds
1.48

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-1

11.6%

1-2

7.2%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.