League One badgeLeague One · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Guangxi Hengchen badgeGuangxi HengchenvsNanjing City badgeNanjing City

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +10.5%
Our model70.4%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guangxi Hengchen badge

Guangxi Hengchen

Attack44
Defence47
Form40
Nanjing City badge

Nanjing City

Attack35
Defence47
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market59.9%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Guangxi Hengchen Win

Edge +8.6%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Guangxi Hengchen (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.