Serie D badgeSerie D · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Guaporé badgeGuaporévsHumaitá badgeHumaitá

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model57.1%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Guaporé badge

Guaporé

Attack45
Defence52
Form58
Humaitá badge

Humaitá

Attack60
Defence50
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Guaporé Win

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model55.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model51.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Guaporé (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.