Serie D badgeSerie D · 12 July 2026AI PICK

Guaporé badgeGuaporévsLuverdense badgeLuverdense

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model55.9%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guaporé badge

Guaporé

Attack71
Defence46
Form56
Luverdense badge

Luverdense

Attack46
Defence68
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Guaporé (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Void
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model75.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market44.4%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model53.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Guaporé Win

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model41.6%
The market34.7%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

8.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.