Serie C badgeSerie C · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Guarani Campinas badgeGuarani CampinasvsAO Itabaiana badgeAO Itabaiana

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +3.7%
Our model70.4%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guarani Campinas badge

Guarani Campinas

Attack30
Defence94
Form53
AO Itabaiana badge

AO Itabaiana

Attack29
Defence75
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model60.2%
The market69.4%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Guarani Campinas Win

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Guarani Campinas (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.