Serie C badgeSerie C · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Guarani Campinas badgeGuarani CampinasvsFloresta badgeFloresta

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+6.6 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +6.6%
Our model53.1%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guarani Campinas badge

Guarani Campinas

Attack75
Defence57
Form55
Floresta badge

Floresta

Attack44
Defence39
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Guarani Campinas (DNB)

Edge +24.7%Void
Our model81.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.1%
The market92.6%
Edge
-17.5
Odds
1.08

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market44.4%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Guarani Campinas Win

Miss
Our model45.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-21.2
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.9%

2-1

10.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.