Serie C · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Guarani CampinasvsYpiranga-RS

2 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.8%
Market said: 47.2%
Edge: +10.6 pts
Best odds: 2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +10.6%

Our model57.8%

The market47.2%

The market underrated this by 10.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guarani Campinas

Attack82

Defence53

Form56

Ypiranga-RS

Attack61

Defence45

Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%

The market85.5%

Edge: -13.4
Odds: 1.17

Draw No Bet

Guarani Campinas (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void

Our model62.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.6%Correct

Our model57.8%

The market47.2%

Edge: +10.6
Odds: 2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct

Our model53.2%

The market52.5%

Edge: +0.7
Odds: 1.83

Match Winner

Guarani Campinas Win

Edge +2.9%Miss

Our model49.4%

The market46.5%

Edge: +2.9
Odds: 2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.4%

The market10.8%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

10.1%

2-0

6.7%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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