Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Guarany de Bagé badgeGuarany de BagévsCianorte badgeCianorte

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
85.7%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+16.3 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +16.3%
Our model85.7%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 16.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guarany de Bagé badge

Guarany de Bagé

Attack9
Defence36
Form13
Cianorte badge

Cianorte

Attack49
Defence48
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.3%Correct
Our model85.7%
The market69.4%
Edge
+16.3
Odds
1.44

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.4%
Our model69.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Cianorte (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model30.9%
The market26.9%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
3.72

Match Winner

Cianorte Win

Correct
Our model30.0%
The market47.6%
Edge
-17.6
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

30.9% · actual

0-0

26.4%

0-2

16.5%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.