Guayaquil City FCvs
LDU de Quito
2 - 1Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 58.0%
- Edge
- +3.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.66
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66
The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
LDU de Quito (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.48
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.66
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
LDU de Quito Win
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.94
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.