Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Guayaquil City FC badgeGuayaquil City FCvsLDU de Quito badgeLDU de Quito

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
58.0%
Edge
+3.3 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +3.3%
Our model61.3%
The market58.0%

The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Guayaquil City FC badge

Guayaquil City FC

Attack45
Defence44
Form33
LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack38
Defence88
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model76.2%
The market76.9%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Miss
Our model64.2%
The market67.6%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.48

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Close
Our model61.3%
The market58.0%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market54.0%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Miss
Our model48.9%
The market51.5%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.94

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Our model10.4%
The market12.0%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.4%

1-2

6.0%

0-2

5.5%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.