Coppa Italia Serie C badgeCoppa Italia Serie C · 2 September 2026AI PICK

Gubbio badgeGubbiovsVis Pesaro badgeVis Pesaro

5 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.76

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model58.6%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Gubbio badge

Gubbio

Attack33
Defence60
Form50
Vis Pesaro badge

Vis Pesaro

Attack17
Defence28
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +15.4%Correct
Our model85.8%
The market70.4%
Edge
+15.4
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Gubbio (DNB)

Edge +27.9%Correct
Our model78.4%
The market50.5%
Edge
+27.9
Odds
1.98

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market56.8%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.76

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model53.3%
The market51.0%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.96

Match Winner

Gubbio Win

Edge +10.6%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market41.0%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
2.44

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model20.8%
The market23.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
4.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.8%

0-0

21.6%

1-1

12.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.