Serie C - Girone B badgeSerie C - Girone B · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 badgeGuidonia Montecelio 1937vsAthletic Carpi badgeAthletic Carpi

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.4%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+28.8 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83

High confidenceEdge +28.8%
Our model83.4%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 28.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 badge

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Attack27
Defence52
Form22
Athletic Carpi badge

Athletic Carpi

Attack30
Defence40
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +28.8%Miss
Our model83.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
+28.8
Odds
1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +18.0%Miss
Our model66.8%
The market48.8%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Win

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.