Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Guimaraes B badgeGuimaraes BvsAmarante badgeAmarante

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +1.7%
Our model62.3%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guimaraes B badge

Guimaraes B

Attack58
Defence51
Form51
Amarante badge

Amarante

Attack61
Defence75
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market60.6%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Guimaraes B (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Guimaraes B Win

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model43.0%
The market38.5%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

0-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.