Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Guimaraes B badgeGuimaraes BvsLeça badgeLeça

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Guimaraes B Win

Match Winner · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +3.2%
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Guimaraes B badge

Guimaraes B

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Leça badge

Leça

Attack17
Defence28
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market84.7%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Guimaraes B (DNB)

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model63.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Guimaraes B Win

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model58.4%
The market59.9%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market56.5%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
1.77

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Close
Our model23.8%
The market27.4%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
3.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

23.8%

2-0

18.6% · actual

0-0

17.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.