Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Guimaraes B badgeGuimaraes BvsMafra badgeMafra

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.1%
Market said
55.9%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.79

MediumEdge +2.2%
Our model58.1%
The market55.9%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guimaraes B badge

Guimaraes B

Attack60
Defence56
Form56
Mafra badge

Mafra

Attack54
Defence38
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market55.9%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.79

Draw No Bet

Guimaraes B (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Close
Our model50.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Guimaraes B Win

Miss
Our model46.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.