Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Guimaraes badgeGuimaraesvsRio Ave badgeRio Ave

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Guimaraes Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.9%
Our model58.9%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guimaraes badge

Guimaraes

Attack54
Defence44
Form44
Rio Ave badge

Rio Ave

Attack34
Defence39
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Guimaraes (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Guimaraes Win

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model49.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.